News analysisDigital evidence and deepfakes

OpenAI and Meta Tell US Judges Deepfakes Won’t Be Reliably Detected

Speakers from OpenAI and Meta told a US federal evidence committee that AI fakes are getting harder to spot. If detection is unreliable, here is what that means for watermarks, Rule 901(c) and your own evidence.

TrueScreen editorial teamPublished 15 min read

On October 15, 2026, in Boston, Shira Anderson of OpenAI and Devin Norder of Meta spoke to the Advisory Committee on Evidence Rules of the Judicial Conference of the United States at a session on the risk of deepfake evidence. Anderson, a policy counsel, said she does not think there will be a scientific way to detect AI images going forward, and Norder said people cannot tell media from recent frontier models apart from authentic media, Reuters reported. TrueScreen certifies photos, videos and audio at the moment of capture, so their authenticity can be demonstrated instead of guessed.

Key takeaways

  • On October 15, 2026, in Boston, OpenAI’s Shira Anderson told the Advisory Committee on Evidence Rules she does not think there will be a scientific way to detect AI images going forward, and Meta’s Devin Norder said people cannot tell recent AI media from authentic media (Reuters).
  • OpenAI’s Shira Anderson said each company uses its own watermark and there is no universal way to verify them (Investing.com, October 15, 2026).
  • Proposed Rule 901(c) is a working draft the committee has neither approved nor published for comment; it was deferred on May 7, 2026 (committee agenda book).
  • Of 931 federal trial judges who answered a Federal Judicial Center survey (a 45% response rate), only 15 had faced a deepfake challenge (May 2026 minutes).
  • Under eIDAS, a qualified electronic seal carries a presumption of integrity and origin (Article 35(2)), and a qualified timestamp a presumption that the date and time are accurate (Article 41(2)); neither attests that what a file shows is true, and courts weigh them case by case.

15 of 931

federal trial judges in the FJC survey who had faced a deepfake challenge (45% response rate)

Federal Judicial Center survey, reported in the Advisory Committee agenda book, 2026

82%

of judges without a deepfake challenge who would require an initial showing before examining a fabrication claim

Federal Judicial Center survey, reported in the Advisory Committee agenda book, 2026

48.2%

average accuracy of participants telling AI-synthesized faces from real ones in a 2022 study

Nightingale and Farid, PNAS, 2022

The committee has been studying deepfake evidence since 2023, and the first question on its Boston agenda was blunt: will deepfakes flood the courts? Two of the panelists work at companies that build the generators; what they said was their own account, not a company position. The conclusion we draw is ours, not theirs: if detection is unreliable, spotting the fake becomes a weaker defense, and what remains is proving that your own evidence is authentic from the moment you captured it.

What OpenAI and Meta Told US Judges About Deepfake Evidence

OpenAI’s Shira Anderson doubted that AI images will be scientifically detectable going forward and noted that each company uses its own watermark and there is no universal way to verify them, while Meta’s Devin Norder said people can no longer tell recent AI media from the real thing.

The deepfake panel opened the committee’s fall meeting, a mini-conference set up in May 2026 to hear experts before any vote; the committee’s agenda book lists academics, NIST, a forensic examiner and federal defenders alongside the two companies.

OpenAI’s Shira Anderson: No Scientific Way Ahead to Detect AI Images

Shira Anderson is policy counsel at OpenAI, where she works on AI regulation and content provenance and collaborates with the C2PA, the coalition behind Content Credentials. On images, she was direct: “AI images are only getting better, and I do not think that there will be a scientific way going forward to detect them.”

She also pointed to a structural problem: each company uses its own watermarking system, and there is no universal method to verify them, Investing.com reported. On watermarks themselves she offered a guess rather than a forecast: “My guess is that this absolutely will continue to get better. I do not think it’ll ever be bulletproof.”

Meta’s Devin Norder: Indistinguishable to People, Trivial to Produce

Devin Norder is a director of product management at Meta, where she leads trust, safety and risk for generative AI and has worked on C2PA and on watermarking for Meta’s models. Her point was about human perception: “Media generated from frontier models, at least in the last few generations, are indistinguishable by humans from authentic or AI-generated media.” She added that “the cost and the time it takes to create this media really are quite trivial at this point.”

Earlier research points the same way. In a 2022 study in PNAS co-authored by Hany Farid, who sat on the same Boston panel, 315 participants tried to tell AI-synthesized faces from real ones and averaged 48.2% accuracy, slightly below chance. Those were faces made with the models of the time.

Software is not closing the gap. One recent benchmark found that detection accuracy falls by up to 49% over a single year of AI video progress.

Why an AI Watermark Is Not Enough to Prove What Is Real

An AI watermark proves something only when it is present and readable, and its absence says nothing about whether a file is authentic.

An AI watermark is a signal a generator embeds in its output, usually invisible to the eye, and laws on both sides of the Atlantic now require one, placing the duty first of all on the companies that provide the generators. California’s AI Transparency Act (SB 942, as amended by AB 853) became operative on August 2, 2026: providers of generative AI systems with more than 1,000,000 monthly users in California must embed a latent disclosure in the images, video and audio those systems create. Text is not covered. AB 853 also extends obligations to large online platforms from January 1, 2027, and to makers of capture devices such as cameras and phones from January 1, 2028.

In the EU, Article 50(2) of the AI Act requires providers of systems that generate synthetic audio, images, video or text to mark outputs “in a machine-readable format and detectable as artificially generated or manipulated,” starting August 2, 2026. Under Regulation (EU) 2026/1744, systems already on the market before that date have until December 2, 2026 to meet the marking duty. Article 50(4) separately requires deployers who use an AI system to create deepfakes to disclose that the content was artificially generated or manipulated.

A mandatory mark is still not a universal one. Each provider picks its own technology, and a reader built for one mark cannot see another. The memo the committee’s reporter prepared for the Boston meeting says it plainly: “The EU Act does not command the use of one universal watermark, nor does it establish a forensic presumption of machine authorship.” Google’s SynthID check shows the limit in practice, because it finds Google’s own watermark and nothing else.

A file with no watermark may be authentic, may come from a generator that does not mark its output, or may have had its mark degraded by editing. TrueScreen treats the absence of a watermark or of Content Credentials as missing information, never as proof of authenticity or of tampering.

Automated detection, generator watermarks and certification at the source compared: what each shows, what it does not show, who can check it and when it helps
Automated detection Generator watermark Certification at the source
What it shows A probability that a file was generated or manipulated That the file passed through a generator that applied that specific mark How, when and with which device the content was captured, and that it has not changed since
What it does not show What actually happened, or that an unflagged file is genuine Anything, when the mark is missing That the scene was genuine: a staged scene is certified as an authentic recording of a staged scene
Who can check it Whoever runs the detector, with results that depend on the model Only a reader built for that provider’s mark Anyone holding the package, with standard tools
When it helps Files you received and did not capture Confirming that a file came from a generator that marks its output Content you create and expect to rely on later

For evidence you create yourself, the question shifts from how to unmask a fake to how to demonstrate what is real. TrueScreen acquires photos, videos and audio with a forensic methodology at the moment they are created and certifies them with a qualified electronic seal and a qualified timestamp.

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Capture, analyze and certify any online content.

TrueScreen’s Forensic Browser certifies web pages at the moment of capture, and Media Inspector analyzes files that already exist.

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Rule 901(c) and Deepfake Challenges: Who Must Prove What

Draft Rule 901(c) would make a party claiming a deepfake show real grounds first, then require the party offering the evidence to prove it is more likely than not authentic, but it is still an unapproved working draft.

The Two-Step Mechanism

Proposed Rule 901(c) is a working draft amendment to Rule 901 of the Federal Rules of Evidence for items challenged as fabricated, in whole or in part, by generative AI. First, the challenger must present evidence sufficient to support a finding of fabrication; as the committee’s reporter puts it, “a simple claim of ‘fake’ is insufficient.” If that showing is made, the item is admissible only if its proponent demonstrates that it is “more likely than not authentic,” a higher bar than ordinary authentication.

The reporter, Professor Daniel Capra, has also proposed adding to the committee note a list of factors a court could consider at the first step: missing or anomalous metadata, inconsistent creation dates, no native file, gaps in the chain of custody. That list is his proposal, not the text of the rule or a position the committee has taken.

None of it is law. Rule 901(c) is a working draft that the committee “has prepared, but not finally approved,” and it has never been published for public comment. No official record of what happened at the Boston meeting has been published yet. On May 7, 2026, a divided committee deferred 901(c) and the revised Rule 707 on machine-generated evidence to the fall mini-conference that became the Boston meeting. Judge Jesse Furman, who chairs the committee, proposed the deferral even though it meant “a delay of another year,” and noted that even a rule published in summer 2026 would not have taken effect before December 1, 2028.

Why Judges Are in No Hurry

Few federal judges have actually seen deepfake evidence challenged in court. In a Federal Judicial Center survey reported in the committee’s May 2026 minutes, 931 federal trial judges responded (a 45% response rate) and only 15 had faced a deepfake challenge. Among the rest, 82% said they would require an initial showing before examining a claim of fabrication, which is what the draft’s first step does.

Furman said as much in Boston: “There’s a lot of academic commentary and other commentary predicting that courts will be dealing with deepfakes, but we haven’t actually seen a whole lot of that yet.”

Judge Valerie Caproni, a committee member, urged colleagues not to rush into an AI-specific rule without stronger evidence that deepfakes are a widespread problem in court, according to IBTimes UK. “We’ve dealt with bad actors presenting fake evidence since Cain and Abel,” she said, as quoted by Reuters. “That’s a longstanding problem.”

What Changes for Anyone Who Produces Digital Evidence

Whatever happens to Rule 901(c), digital evidence that can show how, when and with what it was captured is easier to document and verify in a challenge than evidence whose only protection is that nobody spots a fake.

In US federal courts, Rule 901(a) already requires the proponent to produce evidence sufficient to support a finding that an item is what the proponent claims. Among its examples, Rule 901(b)(9) lists “evidence describing a process or system and showing that it produces an accurate result.” That is context for how a documented capture process can support authentication, not a guarantee of admission.

In the EU, the eIDAS Regulation gives a qualified electronic seal “the presumption of integrity of the data and of correctness of the origin of that data” (Article 35(2)), and a qualified electronic time stamp “the presumption of the accuracy of the date and the time it indicates and the integrity of the data” (Article 41(2)). These presumptions cover the integrity of the file, its origin from whoever sealed it and its date; neither attests that what the file shows is true, and courts weigh both case by case.

AI Act Article 50 deals with marking synthetic content and making it recognizable; it does not ask anyone to prove that authentic content is real. For the capture itself, ISO/IEC 27037 sets international guidelines for identifying, collecting, acquiring and preserving digital evidence.

  1. Capture With a Verifiable Method

    Record photos, video and audio with a process you can describe and someone else can check, instead of pulling files later from a phone gallery or a chat. A missing native file or odd metadata, two of the factors the reporter proposes courts look at, is what undocumented capture tends to leave behind.

  2. Fix the Date and Integrity at the Moment of Capture

    A SHA-256 hash calculated at capture, bound to a qualified timestamp and sealed, lets anyone check later when the file existed and that it has not changed. A timestamp added months afterward fixes the content only from that later date.

  3. Keep What a Third Party Needs to Verify

    Preserve the native file, its metadata, the capture context (time, location, device, network) and a record of who handled it. An opposing expert should be able to check integrity and origin without taking your word for it.

How Do You Prove a Photo or Video Is Authentic Before It Is Challenged?

TrueScreen certifies photos, videos and audio at the moment they are captured: forensic acquisition prevents alteration while the content is recorded, and a qualified electronic seal with a qualified timestamp makes any later change detectable.

TrueScreen is the Data Authenticity Platform, and in its methodology the forensic work comes before the seal. Content is acquired in a controlled environment, so that no person, software, system or AI can alter it during capture, and its context (time, location, device, network) is collected with it. The data is then verified and a technical report is produced. Only at the end is the package sealed with an official digital seal and a qualified timestamp, recognized internationally. The chain of custody stays unbroken, and the process is aligned with the ISO/IEC 27037 guidelines.

That order matters. Anyone can seal a file, and sealing proves a file has not changed since the seal went on; it does not prove the file was true before it arrived. Anyone who receives a certification can verify its integrity and seal with standard tools, without trusting the person who delivered it.

The TrueScreen app acquires photos, videos, audio and screen recordings in real time and certifies them with this methodology. The Forensic Browser on macOS and Windows does the same for web pages, social media and browsing sessions, while on a computer the Portal certifies files and the screen, then stores the certifications for verification and sharing.

For content it did not acquire, TrueScreen also offers deepfake detection for photos, video and audio, available on every TrueScreen plan and reachable today in the Forensic Browser. It reports how likely a manipulation is: detection is an additional signal; certification at the source documents how and when the content was captured.

There is a limit: TrueScreen guarantees the how, not the what, so a staged scene is certified as an authentic recording of a staged scene. Certified content carries full legal and evidentiary value worldwide, yet the court weighs it case by case, and no certification can promise the outcome of a proceeding.

Take a construction company that photographs site damage with the app before handing over a building. A year later, the other side claims the photos were made with AI. The certification package shows how and when each image was acquired, and the opposing expert can examine that instead of a file of unknown origin. A file of unknown origin produces an opinion; a file sealed at acquisition produces a defensible result.

Conclusion

Rule 901(c) is still a working draft, and it may change or never take effect. What stands out is who spoke in Boston: OpenAI’s Shira Anderson does not think there will be a scientific way to detect AI images going forward, and Meta’s Devin Norder said people can no longer tell recent AI media from authentic media. If detection is unreliable, evidence that can show how, when and with what it was captured does not depend on catching the fake, and that is where preparation pays off before anyone raises a challenge.

FAQ: OpenAI, Meta and Deepfake Evidence

What did OpenAI and Meta tell US judges about deepfake evidence?

On October 15, 2026, in Boston, Shira Anderson of OpenAI and Devin Norder of Meta spoke to the federal Advisory Committee on Evidence Rules about deepfake evidence. Anderson, a policy counsel, said she does not think there will be a scientific way to detect AI images going forward, and that each company uses its own watermark. Norder said people cannot tell media from recent frontier models apart from authentic media, and that it is quite trivial to produce, Reuters reported.

Can AI detect deepfakes?

Detection tools exist, but they return a probability rather than proof. On October 15, 2026, OpenAI’s Shira Anderson told US federal judges she does not think there will be a scientific way to detect AI images going forward. People are not a safe fallback either: in a 2022 PNAS study, participants identified the AI-synthesized faces of the time with 48.2% average accuracy.

Why isn’t an AI watermark enough to tell whether an image is real?

A watermark proves something only when it is present and readable by the right tool. Each AI provider uses its own system, with no universal way to verify them, as OpenAI’s Shira Anderson told US judges in October 2026. California’s AI Transparency Act and EU AI Act Article 50(2) require generator providers, first of all, to mark their output from August 2, 2026 (in the EU, systems already on the market have until December 2, 2026). Neither law asks anyone to prove that authentic content is real, and a missing watermark is missing information: the image may be authentic, unmarked or edited.

What is proposed Rule 901(c), and is it in effect?

Proposed Rule 901(c) is a working draft amendment to the US Federal Rules of Evidence. A party claiming that evidence was fabricated by generative AI must first present evidence sufficient to support that finding; the party offering it must then show it is more likely than not authentic. It is not in effect: it is a working draft that the Advisory Committee on Evidence Rules has neither approved nor published for public comment. The committee deferred it on May 7, 2026, and no official record of the outcome of its October 15 meeting is available yet.

How do you prove a photo or video used as evidence is authentic?

TrueScreen certifies photos and videos at the moment of capture: it acquires them forensically in a controlled environment, collects time, location and device data, and seals the result with a qualified electronic seal and a qualified timestamp. Under eIDAS, a qualified electronic seal carries a presumption of integrity and origin (Article 35(2)) and a qualified timestamp a presumption that the date and time are accurate (Article 41(2)). These presumptions do not attest that what the file shows is true, and the court weighs them case by case. Anyone can verify the package with standard tools.

Sources and verification

Every figure and principle cited here links to its source, listed with type and date. Links checked on the publication date.

Sources cited in the article, with type, date and reason for citation
Source Type Date What it supports
Reuters, OpenAI, Meta caution US judiciary about risk of deepfake evidence Survey 15/10/2026 Statements by Shira Anderson (OpenAI), Devin Norder (Meta) and Judges Furman and Caproni at the October 15, 2026 meeting
Investing.com, OpenAI and Meta warn US judicial panel about deepfake evidence Survey 15/10/2026 Anderson’s statement that each company uses its own watermark and no universal verification method exists
IBTimes UK, OpenAI on AI deepfake evidence in courts Survey 16/10/2026 Judge Caproni’s caution against an AI-specific rule
Advisory Committee on Evidence Rules, agenda book for the October 15, 2026 meeting Document 23/09/2026 Panel composition, speaker roles, Rule 901(c) working draft and status, FJC survey, May 7, 2026 minutes, memo on the EU AI Act
Nightingale and Farid, AI-synthesized faces are indistinguishable from real faces and more trustworthy, PNAS 119(8) Survey 2022 Human accuracy of 48.2% in telling synthetic faces from real ones
California AB 853 (Stats. 2025, Chapter 674), amending the AI Transparency Act (SB 942) Law 13/10/2025 Operative date of August 2, 2026, latent disclosure for images, video and audio, 1,000,000 user threshold, obligations for large online platforms from January 1, 2027 and capture device makers from January 1, 2028
Regulation (EU) 2024/1689 (AI Act), Article 50(2) and 50(4) Law 2024 Machine-readable marking of synthetic content by providers from August 2, 2026; disclosure duty for deployers of deepfakes
Regulation (EU) 2026/1744 (Digital Omnibus on AI) Law 08/07/2026 Deadline of December 2, 2026 for Article 50(2) marking by systems already on the market
Federal Rules of Evidence, Rule 901 Law current Rule 901(a) authentication standard and Rule 901(b)(9) process or system example
Regulation (EU) 910/2014 (eIDAS), consolidated text, Articles 35 and 41 Law 18/10/2024 Presumptions attached to qualified electronic seals and qualified electronic time stamps
ISO/IEC 27037 Standard 2012 International guidelines for identifying, collecting, acquiring and preserving digital evidence

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TrueScreen editorial team

This section is edited by the TrueScreen editorial team, which brings together expertise in digital forensics, the law of digital evidence and regulatory compliance. Every article is checked against primary sources: legislation, published rulings, technical standards and official documentation, always cited in the text.